Why U.S. Tariffs May Not Impact India Significantly
Jai Siya Ram
http://www.fxlive.in/
FXLive Explains the Bigger Picture
๐ What's Happening?
Former President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on Indian goods. While headlines sound alarming, the actual impact on India's economy is expected to be minimal.
๐ง 1. India Is Not Dependent on U.S. Exports
U.S. accounts for just ~17% of India's total exports
India’s trade ties with EU, UAE, and Southeast Asia are strong
Many sectors already pivoted to new markets
๐ 2. Domestic Demand Is India's Growth Engine
India is a consumption-driven economy, not export-heavy
MSMEs now focus more on local sales and resilience
Domestic consumption buffers global shocks
๐ 3. Macroeconomic Strength Is a Safety Net
6.7% GDP growth, stable inflation, and high forex reserves
Economic policies focused on self-reliance (Aatmanirbhar Bharat)
๐งพ 4. Government & Diplomacy Can De-escalate
India has rolled back its digital tax, showing flexibility
Possibility of WTO mediation or future negotiations with U.S.
⚙️ Sector Outlook
Sector Exposure to U.S. FXLive Impact View
Textiles High Mild disruption
Jewelry Medium Stable
Pharmaceuticals Medium Watch margins
IT Services Low No major effect
Auto Components Low Safe
✅ FXLive Conclusion
“India is globally connected — not globally dependent.”
This tariff is more politics than economics. Smart diversification, local demand, and strong policy support will absorb any short-term shocks.
Regards
The Market thinker
MCX Commodity + NSE Equity and Forex Market
Comments
Post a Comment